Explained: Modi called Muslims ‘infiltrators’! This is what spoiled BJP’s math of crossing 400, understand from the strike rate

New Delhi: The first phase of the Lok Sabha elections, 2024 had passed. PM Narendra Modi had set out for his/her election campaign. Two days later, on 21 April, there was a BJP election rally in Banswara, Rajasthan. In that rally, Prime Minister Narendra Modi commented on Muslims, citing an old speech of former PM Manmohan Singh. The PM had said that earlier when his/her government was in power, he/she had said that Muslims have the first right on the country’s property. This means that who will be distributed this property after collecting it? Those who have more children, they will distribute it. They will distribute it to infiltrators. Will your hard-earned money be given to infiltrators? Do you accept this? Calling this statement of Modi a hate speech, the opposition parties had also complained about it to the Election Commission. However, Modi had pointed towards Bangladeshi infiltrators. Experts say that these anti-Muslim statements of Modi took the BJP away from the majority figure of 272 and the slogan of crossing 400. Let us understand what has been the strike rate of the BJP after such statements in different phases of voting?

BJP suffered losses in four out of seven phases

Rajiv Ranjan Giri, a professor at Delhi University and political analyst, says that during the seven phases of the 44-day election, the BJP’s strike rate ranged from 35 to 70 percent. The biggest drop was from the fourth to the seventh phase. Modi had made anti-Muslim statements during the second phase of election campaign. In the first phase, the BJP contested on 77 seats. Out of those, the BJP won 30 seats. Its strike rate in this was 39 percent. The BJP got 134 seats in the first three phases, while in the next four phases it got only 105 seats. The BJP won one seat in Surat unopposed.

BJP’s strike rate increased in the second and third phases

During the second phase, BJP’s strike rate increased. It increased from 35% to 67%. In this phase, BJP contested on 70 seats and won 47 seats. In the third phase, BJP’s strike rate reached its peak i.e. it reached 70%. This included 25 out of 26 seats in Gujarat, which went to BJP’s account.

BJP’s strike rate kept falling since the fourth phase

Expert Rajiv Ranjan says that after the fourth phase, BJP’s strike rate kept falling. It did rise a little in between, but in terms of seats, it got very few seats in the remaining four phases. This could be an important reason because a section in the election was very angry with this statement of Modi. The opposition’s narrative of changing the constitution and ending the reservation of Dalits with the slogan of 400 plus added fuel to the fire.

Congress is not the only obstacle in the way of Modi’s hat-trick, but Congress’s friends or enemies can become an obstacle

Opposition said- this is a victory against Modi’s negative politics

After the election results, SP chief Akhilesh Yadav had said that this is the victory of harmony, brotherhood and positive politics against the negative politics of division. This is the victory of the unity of the India Alliance. The Pakistani media also talked about Modi’s anti-Muslim statements. Geo TV said, Modi’s politics of extremism has started to collapse. The slogan of 400 plus in the Lok Sabha could not become a reality. At the same time, the newspaper Jang said, Modi, who gave anti-Muslim statements in his/her election campaign, will now have to join hands with the parties with a soft stance who sympathize with Muslims.

BJP’s strike rate drops even in direct contest with Congress

Election analyst Rajiv Ranjan Giri says that in the places where BJP had a direct contest with Congress, BJP’s strike rate was 92 percent during the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, which fell to 71 percent this time. BJP should now think about this and introspect.

Modi magic did not work, Modi’s dream of a Congress-free India remained unfulfilled

This time the strike rate of Congress increased three times

While BJP’s strike rate declined, Congress’ strike rate increased three times compared to last time. In 2019, Congress’ strike rate in direct fight with BJP was only 8 percent, which increased to about 29 percent this time. This is more than three times. Congress got good benefit in Maharashtra and Telangana. In Haryana also, Congress snatched 5 seats from BJP.

BJP leads in MP, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh

In Madhya Pradesh, BJP had a direct fight with Congress. Here BJP won all 29 seats. Due to this, its strike rate here was the highest i.e. 100 percent. For the first time, BJP has done a clean sweep here. In Gujarat also, BJP won 25 out of 26 seats. At the same time, the party was successful in making lotus bloom in 10 out of 11 seats in Chhattisgarh. The strike rate in both the places was much more than 90 percent.