Saturday, April 1st, 2023

Trending News: Gujarat Assembly Elections: BJP may form government in exit polls, but not a good sign either?

With the completion of the second phase of polling in Gujarat yesterday i.e. on 5th December, the voting for the assembly elections was completed. According to the exit polls, there is a possibility of forming the BJP government in Gujarat once again. The results of Gujarat-Himachal Pradesh assembly elections and by-elections for 7 seats in 5 states will come on December 8.

According to the exit polls, the Bharatiya Janata Party is once again ready to form its government on 182 seats in the Gujarat Assembly. Although the party seems to be successful in forming the government, but the performance of the Aam Aadmi Party, which entered the electoral fray for the first time in Gujarat, cannot be ignored.

According to the exit polls, AAP could not defeat BJP in this state, but it seems to be successful in registering its strong presence as an opposition party by cutting the votes of Congress and this is not a good sign for both BJP and Congress. is. 

How much damage did Aam Aadmi Party do? 

According to the exit poll of ABP C-Voter, Arvind Kejriwal-led AAP may get 15 percent votes in Gujarat. If the party gets 15 percent votes, then 10 percent of the Congress voters and 3.5 percent of the BJP voters went to the Aam Aadmi Party. According to the exit polls, even if AAP gets seats in single digits, it would mean that AAP is making a dent in the BJP stronghold for the first time. 

Congress is no longer the only rival

According to the exit poll of ABP C-Voter, BJP has got 49 percent votes in the state, while Congress has got 33 percent and Aam Aadmi Party has got 15 percent votes. While others are getting 3 per cent vote share. Congress got 77 seats in the last assembly elections, which seems to be getting reduced to 16-30 seats this time. Which means Congress voters have voted for Aam Aadmi Party this time. 

If Kejriwal’s party gets 15 percent of the votes in Gujarat, then Gujarat will stand on the cusp of a change in its electoral politics, due to the Aam Aadmi Party entering the fray, the contest may become triangular as it happened in the year 1990.  

In such a situation, if the Aam Aadmi Party is able to make inroads during the results of this time, then a third front will come in the state, which has not yet established its roots in the politics of the state, and this will happen between the party and Gujarat. Could be historic for electoral politics.

Breach on Congress and BJP voters

Exit poll for Congress shows the condition of this party since many years. Even during the election campaign, the Congress was not able to muster up the courage to compete with the BJP. The party assumes that it will get votes from the poor and marginalized sections. 

Why Aam Aadmi Party is an alarm bell for BJP?

The Arvind Kejriwal-led party has so far wrested Delhi and Punjab from the Congress. Now Gujarat is ready to take the place of Congress in the elections also. After the big victory in Punjab, this party is constantly focusing on Gujarat. AAP has nothing to lose in this election, so the party put as much effort in its campaign as BJP did. After a long time in the politics of Gujarat, a party is emerging as a third force and this is not a good sign for the BJP.

AAP running on Punjab formula  

Aam Aadmi Party has knocked in Gujarat just like in Punjab. This party contested the elections in Punjab in 2017 and emerged as the main opposition party, leaving behind the Akali Dal. After this, in the assembly elections held after defeating the Congress, it came to power. With this formula, this party is ready to become the main opposition party in Gujarat as well. In such a situation, the party will get a chance to strengthen itself till the next elections. 

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