Friday, March 21st, 2025

Then the exit of BJP government or Congress, Phalodi satta bazaar told everything


New Delhi : As the date of Lok Sabha election results is getting closer, the predicted betting assessments of Rajasthan’s famous Phalodi betting market have attracted people’s attention. 5 phases of Lok Sabha election voting have been completed. The remaining two phases of voting will be held on May 25 and June 1. Now speculations are rife about which party will gain majority and form the next government at the Centre. The Phalodi betting market has a history of accurate predictions. Be it elections, cricket matches or weather predictions.

How many seats will BJP get?

The betting market is talking about the strong performance of BJP. The betting market predicts that they will win around 300 seats by May 13, 2024. In contrast, the Congress is projected to get only 40-42 seats. This is less than the 52 seats they won in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections. The remaining seats are expected to be distributed among other parties. If these predictions come true, it will strengthen the accuracy of the assessment of the Phalodi betting market.

BJP will not get 370 seats, a veteran leader of the party predicted, the equation changed only after the fourth phase.

How will be the situation in UP?

Despite the low voting percentage in Uttar Pradesh, the BJP is still projected to win 62 to 65 seats out of 80. At the national level, the betting market estimates that BJP will get 280 to 290 seats. Whereas Congress can win 70 to 85 seats. Media reports and Phalodi Satta Bazaar indicate that the BJP aims to capture all 80 Lok Sabha seats in UP. Overall there is confidence of winning 335 to 340 seats. With increase in voting percentage in the final phase, BJP’s seat count may increase to 30-35 seats.

navbharat timesWho benefits from less voting? Market experts do not need to read much on voter turnout.

How were the previous predictions?

Before the Lok Sabha elections, BJP had claimed that they would win more than 400 seats. This time, one of the reasons for the claim of crossing Rs 400 was said to be the construction of Ram temple. However, even at that time, Phalodi Satta Bazar had predicted that BJP would get around 320 seats.

navbharat timesExit Poll: How accurate were the exit polls last time, who predicted what about Modi government in 2019

Accuracy of Phalodi Satta Bazar

Phalodi betting market is famous for its accurate predictions. As the election result day approaches, activity in the betting market intensifies. This gives initial indications about possible government formation. Phalodi Satta Bazar is a long established betting market. This is where bets are placed on various events including all Lok Sabha seats during elections.

Current market rate in Phalodi

  • BJP : 316-319 seats
  • 300 seats: 30-37 paise
  • 310 seat: 55-65 paise
  • 320 seats: 110-160 paise
  • 325 seat: 150-225 paise

  • Congress: 45-47 seats
  • 35 seats: 28-35 paise
  • 40 seats: 35-45 paise
  • 50 seats: 130-200 paise

Changing prices and market dynamics

Betting rates in the satta market fluctuate depending on a number of factors including candidate popularity, campaign rallies and party strength. The current rates reflect the scenario after five phases of voting, with two more phases remaining. These rates may change as the election progresses. Betting rates are influenced by a candidate’s probability of victory or defeat, his or her public image, support seen at election rallies, party position and caste-based support.

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