Friday, November 22nd, 2024

Sonia has handed over her son to Raebareli, but will Rahul Gandhi go to Wayanad?

New Delhi: Former Congress President Rahul Gandhi This time he/she has been elected from two parliamentary constituencies. Rahul Gandhi now has Wayanad seat in Kerala as well as Rae Bareli seat in Uttar Pradesh. The Representation of People Act says that a candidate can contest elections from a maximum of two constituencies. The same law states that if a candidate wins from both the constituencies, he/she will have to vacate one seat within 14 days, after which a by-election will be held on that seat. In such a situation, the question arises that which seat will Rahul Gandhi keep with himself in Wayanad and Rae Bareli and which one will he/she leave? Let us investigate which important issues Rahul Gandhi will keep in mind while deciding to keep one seat and leave the other.

Rahul’s bigger win in Raebareli than Wayanad

Keep in mind that Rahul Gandhi is currently an MP from Wayanad in Kerala. he/she also contested the 2019 Lok Sabha elections from two constituencies. But then he/she had to face defeat from BJP candidate Smriti Irani in Amethi seat of Uttar Pradesh. This time he/she contested from Rae Bareli instead of Amethi. We will discuss this later, first let us know how his/her performance was in Wayanad. Rahul Gandhi got 59.69% votes from Wayanad seat of Kerala this time and the CPI candidate who got 26.09% votes had to face defeat from him/her. There was a difference of 3,64,422 votes between the two. In terms of vote percentage, Rahul has won by a margin of 33.6%.


As far as the Rae Bareli Lok Sabha seat of Uttar Pradesh is concerned, Rahul Gandhi got 66.17% votes from here in this election. The BJP candidate who lost to him/her got only 28.64% votes. In this way, Rahul won by a total of 3,90,030 votes (37.53%). It is clear that the victory of Rae Bareli is bigger for Rahul than the victory of Wayanad.


The margin of victory is one thing, but let us look at some more important factors that Rahul can keep in mind before taking his/her final decision.

1. Will Rahul insult mother Sonia’s appeal?

Sonia Gandhi, who has been representing Rae Bareli in the Lok Sabha for decades, had made a very emotional appeal for Rahul Gandhi. She addressed only one election meeting in this Lok Sabha election. In that rally of Rae Bareli, Sonia had made a very emotional appeal to the voters. Sonia had said, ‘I am handing over my son to you. I have full hope that you will take care of Rahul in the same way as you have taken care of him/her till now.’ If the people of Rae Bareli accepted this appeal of Sonia, then won’t it be an insult to Sonia’s appeal for Rahul to leave Rae Bareli?

2. This area of ​​UP is equal to the total seats of Kerala

Kerala has only 20 Lok Sabha seats while Uttar Pradesh has four times that, i.e. a total of 80 seats. Raebareli falls in the region of Central UP. Central UP has a total of 20 Lok Sabha seats which is equal to the entire state of Kerala.

3. The task of maintaining the momentum of Congress in UP

Congress is strong in Kerala anyway, the situation in Uttar Pradesh has deteriorated. Only Rae Bareli and Amethi are left as they are the traditional seats of the Gandhi family. In the 2019 elections, even Amethi was lost. This time Congress won six seats in alliance with SP. The party’s vote percentage in the state has also increased to double digits, reaching 9.46%. In such a situation, Rahul is needed more in Uttar Pradesh where the Congress party will need to keep giving momentum. On the other hand, in Kerala, Congress won 15 out of 20 seats in 2019 and 14 seats this time. This means that even without Rahul, Kerala will keep giving good results for Congress.

4. Congress is already strong in Kerala

This time BJP has created history by making lotus bloom in Kerala. But it has taken votes of left parties and not Congress. It may take a long time for BJP to establish its roots there and be in a position to give a jolt to Congress. If BJP grows in Kerala, there is every possibility that it will grow at the cost of left parties and not by giving a jolt to Congress. In such a situation, Rahul is not forced to leave Rae Bareli and stay in Wayanad.

5. The resentment of the left party will also go away

There is also pressure on Rahul to stay away from Kerala. This time the left parties had strongly objected to Rahul contesting from Wayanad. Even Kerala Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan had given public statements that if the Congress party is our alliance partner then why is Rahul contesting from here, he/she should contest against the BJP. If Rahul leaves Wayanad and stays in Rae Bareli then the complaint of the left parties will also be resolved and mutual relations will be strengthened.

6. Congress will be saved from the ‘Muslim League’ allegation

In Wayanad, Rahul has to take the support of Indian Union Muslim League (IUML). This gives BJP an opportunity to tarnish the image of Congress across the country. BJP alleges that Congress is basically a Muslim party and it is with the fundamentalist Muslims. If Rahul comes from Wayanad, then he/she will not be forced to maintain close relations with IUML and BJP may lose a big weapon.

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