It will rain heavily in July, there is danger of flood in many places, know the condition of your state

New Delhi : After a decrease in rainfall in June, most parts of the country may now see ‘above normal rainfall’ in July. Only the Northeast, Eastern UP and Western Bihar will see less than normal rainfall this month. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), North-West India was the hottest this year since 1901 in June. The forecast of above normal rainfall in July is good news because in this month, sowing and transplanting of Kharif crops take place. According to the IMD, heavy rain is expected in the national capital on Tuesday. Along with rain, thunderstorms, lightning and strong winds are also expected in Delhi.

Rain forecast in Delhi on Tuesday too
According to the Meteorological Department, the minimum temperature in Delhi on Tuesday was recorded at 30.7 degrees Celsius, which is 2.8 degrees Celsius higher than the normal temperature of this season. Humidity was recorded at 76 percent at 8.30 am. The maximum temperature is expected to be around 33 degrees Celsius. According to the IMD, heavy rain is defined as rainfall between 64.5 to 124.4 mm in a day. An ‘orange alert’ has been issued for Tuesday in Delhi. The IMD issues four levels of warnings based on colors which are ‘green (no action required), ‘yellow’ (be alert and informed), ‘orange’ (be prepared) and ‘red’ (take action) respectively.

There is a possibility of floods in Himalayan regions in July
The IMD said on Monday that India may receive above normal rainfall in July. Heavy rainfall is expected to cause floods in the western Himalayan regions and river valleys in the central part of the country. The IMD has forecast below normal rainfall in northeastern India. IMD chief Mrityunjay Mohapatra said in a digital press conference that the average rainfall in July across the country is likely to be above normal, which may be 106 per cent more than the long period average (LPA) of 28.04 cm.

There may be a decrease in rain in these areas
he/she said, “Most parts of the country are likely to receive above normal rainfall except many parts of Northeast India and some parts of Northwest, East and South-East Peninsular India.” The IMD chief said that the forecast of above normal rainfall “definitely” indicates the possibility of very heavy rainfall in some areas. he/she said, “In particular, if we look at the foothills of the Western Himalayas apart from states like Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and Jammu and Kashmir, we are expecting above normal rainfall.”

Mohapatra said, ‘This is the area where cloudburst, heavy rainfall can have devastating effects in the form of landslides, floods. Many rivers also originate from here. In central India too, Godavari, Mahanadi and other river basins are expected to receive more than normal rainfall. Therefore, there is a high risk of floods there.’

There will be a greater risk of landslides and floods in hilly areas
Experts at the Nepal-based intergovernmental organisation International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) have also warned of extreme weather events during the monsoon season for countries in the Hindu Kush Himalayan region, including Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal and Pakistan. Mandira Shrestha, programme coordinator for climate services at ICIMOD, said, “Despite the fact that many areas in the Hindu Kush Himalayan countries received below average rainfall last year, communities in the Hindu Kush Himalayan regions were affected by devastating floods several times.”

he/she said, “In this context, this year’s monsoon forecast is worrying. It also runs contrary to the overall temperature rise trend, which we know is linked to the loss of snow and greater melting of glaciers. Melting snow is often a major factor in the devastating floods and landslides that we are seeing in our region right now.”

In 2023, there were devastating floods in Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand in July and August and in the Teesta river in the eastern Himalayas in October. India recorded 11 per cent less rainfall than normal in June. Mohapatra attributed the below normal rainfall in June to the slow progress of monsoon in northern and eastern parts of the country due to lack of weather systems.

The IMD said that maximum temperatures are likely to remain below normal in many parts of northwest India and south peninsular India except the west coast. The weather department said, ‘Temperatures are likely to remain above normal in many parts of central India, east and northeast India and the west coast.’

The IMD said that minimum temperatures are expected to be above normal in many parts of the country except some parts of northwest and adjoining areas of central India and some parts of southeastern peninsular India. Mohapatra said, “We are expecting good rainfall during the monsoon in July.”

June was the hottest month since 1901
The IMD said that the month of June in northwest India was the hottest month since 1901, with an average temperature of 31.73 degrees Celsius. According to IMD data, the monthly average maximum temperature in the region was 38.02 degrees Celsius, which is 1.96 degrees Celsius above normal. The average minimum temperature was 25.44 degrees Celsius, which is 1.35 degrees Celsius above normal. The IMD chief said that the average temperature in June in northwest India was recorded at 31.73 degrees Celsius, which is 1.65 degrees Celsius above normal and the highest since 1901.

(with inputs from agencies)