It had failed in 2004 and 2009 too, this time the Exit Poll has revealed the truth again

New Delhi: This time the exit polls have been exposed. All the exit polls had indicated a wave in favour of PM Narendra Modi but the reality is that BJP is not able to form the government on its own. For this, it will need the support of its allies. This result has once again made it clear that the so-called experts who claimed to make accurate predictions had no solid basis for their exit polls. No exit poll had revealed that BJP would not be able to get the majority figure. In every exit poll, NDA was given more than 350 seats and BJP was given more than 300 seats.Passed in 2014 and 2019, now failed in 2024
The exit polls proved correct in 2019 and 2014, but before that in 2004 and 2009, the predictions of political experts and pollsters had failed. This time it was predicted that BJP would form the government for the third time and in many exit polls, NDA was given more than 400 seats, but it remained about 100 seats away from the figure of 400.

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350 plus seats were claimed
Axis My India had given 361 to 401 seats to NDA while 131 to 166 seats were given to INDIA alliance. C Voter had given 353 to 383 seats. C Voter had given 152 to 182 seats to INDIA. Today Chanakya had predicted 400 seats for NDA while 109 to 139 seats were given to INDIA alliance. Also, CNX had given 371 to 401 seats to NDA. It had given 109 to 139 seats to INDIA alliance. Times Now ETG had given 358 seats to NDA and 152 seats to INDIA alliance.

Now, according to the figures that are coming out, the INDIA alliance has performed quite well in states like West Bengal, Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan, whereas these states were being described as a tough test for the alliance in the exit polls. In the exit polls, TMC and BJP were shown to be neck to neck, or even BJP was shown to be better, but the result has been the opposite and TMC has performed better. Whereas, a wave of BJP was shown in UP, but the reality is that BJP has suffered a huge loss in UP.

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assessment went wrong
All pollsters agreed that the NDA led by Modi will win 350 to 400 seats. A bigger victory than in 2014 and 2019 was expected but unlike 2014 and 2019, this time BJP has performed the weakest. BJP has not even been able to reach the magical figure of 272 on its own. This is not the first time that exit poll predictions have failed. Exit polls have proved wrong even during the general elections before 2004, when everyone had predicted the return of BJP under the leadership of Atal Bihari Vajpayee but it proved wrong. In 2009, UPA had made a strong comeback but during this time too pollsters failed to make accurate predictions.

recent exit poll
2004: Fail
2009: Fail
2014: Pass
2019: Pass