Sunday, March 23rd, 2025

How effective was the ‘Modi factor’ in the Lok Sabha elections, understand the whole thing from ‘Election Chanakya’


New Delhi : The Lok Sabha elections are over. After the exit polls, the country is now waiting for June 4. On this day, the country will see the results of the seven-phase exercise. The exit polls have predicted a hat-trick for the BJP. In such a situation, the question is what is the reason that the BJP-led NDA can score a hat-trick at the Centre. The country’s well-known election analyst and CEO and Managing Director of survey agency Axis My India, Dr. Pradeep Gupta, talked about this. During this, Pradeep openly expressed his/her opinion on many issues including the exit polls, the impact of the Modi factor in the Lok Sabha elections, Rahul Gandhi’s ‘khata khata’ statement.

Question: What percentage of contribution does the ‘Modi factor’ have in the seats BJP is getting?
answer : The ‘Modi factor’ has worked the most for the BJP and we found that ‘strong pro-incumbency’ is in favor of the Modi government.

Question: Is there any wave in the name of Rahul Gandhi or are Congress candidates winning on the basis of local equations?
answer : Rahul Gandhi or Congress has contested the elections for India Alliance. Regional parties have contested elections in different regions, like in Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra, Bihar, Jharkhand, the elections have been contested by the regional parties there. Rahul Gandhi is not seen as a brand, in Karnataka, Telangana, Himachal Pradesh where Congress is in power, Congress voters do not vote in the name of Rahul Gandhi, rather the Congress government there asks for votes on the basis of facilities and arrangements and the local people vote on this.

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Question: What has been the effect of Congress’s ‘free’ guarantees? Why did Rahul Gandhi’s phrases like ‘khatakhat-khatakhat’ not have any effect in this election?
answer : During elections, campaigns and phrases like ‘khatakhat-khatakhat’ work only when there is content and the product must be there, only then it can be marketed. Packaging and marketing is an integral part, but marketing usually doesn’t work without your product.

Question: Rahul Gandhi is calling the exit polls as ‘Modi Media Poll’, ‘Fantasy Poll’, what would you say on this?
answer : It is a matter of sour grapes, it is his/her right, he/she can take the survey in any form, he/she himself knows that he/she was feeling very happy when he/she got a huge victory in Karnataka, Himachal Pradesh, Telangana in the exit poll of India Today-Axis My India. On the set of ‘Aaj Tak’, the Congress spokesperson was telling Anjana that Pradeep Gupta is looking very good today. he/she should check the records, he/she will get the answer.

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Question: Survey shows BJP getting success in the South, what was the biggest factor in this?
answer After a while, people want change. People of the South are seeing that in the last 10 years, people in other states of the country have benefited from the schemes of the Central Government. BJP has worked hard in the South. Where it was weak, it put all its strength and resources there. Even after this, BJP is getting only 2-4 seats in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. But, this is how every party starts.

Question: How do you see Arvind Kejriwal’s failure in the Lok Sabha elections in Delhi?
answer : Talking about Arvind Kejriwal, we have seen in the 2014 and 2019 elections that Kejriwal’s party does well in the assembly elections, this time it performed well in the MCD. But, voters vote differently in the assembly and Lok Sabha elections, they choose different parties and there is a Modi government at the center. Everyone knows that if anyone votes for the Aam Aadmi Party, then their government will not be formed. Today, the public believes in giving a ‘clear cut mandate’, be it Lok Sabha elections or assembly elections.

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Question: Due to the alliance of AAP-Congress in Delhi and fighting separately in Punjab, did the voters appear to go towards BJP?
answer : Every person wants a strong government. The absence of an alliance between any party shows that you have differences among yourselves. Then on what basis are you asking for votes?

Question: Has Didi made a mistake in West Bengal?
answer : Last time BJP had won 18 seats in West Bengal. Whereas TMC had won 22 seats. People are voting on the basis that whoever we elect should form the government.

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