El Niño has disappeared, clouds will rain heavily in these two months, US weather department has given good news

New Delhi: There is good news for the people of North India including Delhi who are facing severe heat. El Nino, which has been affecting the world’s weather for about a year, has ended. This means that people will get to see good rainfall in the coming two months. If the US weather departments are to be believed, there is a possibility of ‘La Nina’ in the Pacific Ocean in the next two months. Due to this, it is going to rain heavily in August-September.better late than never
According to the latest update from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), there is a 65% chance of La Nina forming in the July-September period. This is slightly later than last month’s estimate, but there is still time to affect the monsoon. Last month, NOAA’s forecast had a probability of La Nina forming in the June-August period of about 50%, which has now come down to 40%. This is in line with the forecast of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The Meteorological Department has predicted 6% more rainfall than average in the four-month monsoon season, i.e. 106% of the long-term average rainfall. Also, the possibility of good rains has also been predicted in the second half of the season.

This is a good sign for India
M Rajeevan, senior meteorologist and former secretary of the Meteorological Department, said that the latest forecast from the US is a good sign for the monsoon. Even though La Nina is declared around August, the abnormal changes in temperature that occur during that period have already started forming. The change from normal weather to La Nina during the monsoon is a good sign for India.

Understand the difference between La Nina and El Nino
La Niña is a meteorological condition that occurs every three to seven years. It causes surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean to cool below normal levels, with associated changes in wind patterns affecting weather across large parts of the world. El Niño is the opposite condition, characterized by unusual warmth of ocean waters. El Niño/La Niña is the largest natural source of year-to-year variations in seasonal climate.

While El Niño events typically lead to less monsoon rain in India, La Niña events usually help bring good monsoon rains. The last El Niño developed around May 2023 and peaked in December-January as one of the five strongest such events on record. The NOAA said on Thursday that conditions in the Pacific turned ‘neutral’ last month, meaning that El Niño had ended.

Monsoon system weakened
Meanwhile, the onset of monsoon in India has been good so far. It has covered the entire south India and northeast, along with most of Maharashtra, but the system has weakened and is likely to remain so for 7-10 days. Experts say rainfall across the country in June has been 12.2% below normal. Rajeevan said the halt in monsoon could lead to below normal rainfall in June. The weakening of monsoon has also reduced the chances of early rains in north India, which is currently in the grip of an unprecedentedly long and scorching heat.