New Delhi : BJP is moving towards a landslide victory in the Haryana Assembly elections by proving all the exit polls false. BJP seems to be getting a clear majority in the state with 90 assembly seats. Till the time of writing the news, it has won 15 seats while it is ahead on 35 others i.e. it is on the way to get 4 seats more than the 46 required for majority. Let us see what were the 5 factors behind BJP’s victory in Haryana.

1. Bet to make Saini the CM in place of Khattar before the elections

BJP came to power in Haryana for the first time in 2014. In 2019, it fell short of majority on its own but managed to form a coalition government with the help of JJP. However, there is always a risk of anti-incumbency if one remains in power for two consecutive terms. To eliminate this risk, BJP used its tried and tested strategy just before the Lok Sabha elections. The stake is to change the Chief Minister. In place of Punjabi Khatri Manohar Lal Khattar, his/her own trusted Naib Singh Saini was made the Chief Minister. The election results are showing that this move of BJP has been successful.

2. OBC votes tilted in favor of BJP after Saini became CM!

Naib Singh Saini comes from OBC community. he/she is the first person from the OBC community to reach the post of Chief Minister in Haryana. This increased the inclination of voters of his/her community towards BJP. Ahir, Gujjar and Saini communities constitute about 11 percent of Haryana. OBCs are around 34 percent.

3. Mobilization of non-Jat votes

Congress’s over-confidence, giving too much importance to Bhupinder Singh Hooda with a free hand in deciding candidates fueled Jat versus non-Jat polarization in the elections. On top of that, BJP further strengthened this polarization by giving the first Chief Minister from the OBC community in the form of Nayab Singh Saini. The party benefited from this. Haryana is a Jat dominated state where about 30 percent are Jats. On the other hand, the number of backward class voters is approximately 34 percent. Apart from these, 17 percent are Dalits. Due to the importance given to Jat community in Congress, the inclination of non-Jat voters increased towards BJP. BJP had realized that there was resentment among Jat voters regarding it, hence it did not have much hope from this community. Before the elections, BJP distanced itself from Dushyant Chautala’s Jannayak Janata Party, whose core voter base is Jats. BJP also benefited from this.

4. Tickets for new candidates

Apart from changing the CM, BJP made another move to remove anti-incumbency tendencies and resentment among the voters at the local MLA level. The stake is to field new candidates. Due to this, the party had to face rebellion on some seats but the party did not pay much attention to it. BJP also benefited from this in the elections and it helped in reducing the heat of anti-incumbency.

5. Focus on Dalit votes

Congress was confident of victory in Haryana. BJP knew that this time the path was not going to be easy. he/she very neatly took advantage of the infighting in the Congress. The fight between Bhupendra Singh Hooda vs Kumari Selja was given a lot of air in Congress. Hooda camp had the upper hand in ticket distribution and most of the candidates were those on whom the former CM had a hand. Selja also became uncomfortable with this and distanced herself from the election campaign. It is certain that she was seen on the stage with Hooda in a rally of Rahul Gandhi. BJP left no stone unturned in publicizing that Selja, a veteran Dalit face, was being insulted within the Congress. They are being ignored. Apart from this, the party also warned the Dalits by reminding them of the Mirchpur incident that if Congress comes to power, a period of atrocities may begin on their community. The result is that BJP seems to be getting success in attracting Dalit voters also.

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Jat-non-Jat division, Dalit vote, change of CM… Know the 5 big reasons for BJP’s victory in Haryana.

1. Bet to make Saini the CM in place of Khattar before the elections

2. OBC votes tilted in favor of BJP after Saini became CM!

3. Mobilization of non-Jat votes

4. Tickets for new candidates

5. Focus on Dalit votes

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